HRS-V3 Predictive Model · April 17, 2026 Slate
Environmental vectors, pitcher vulnerability, and match-up value synthesis.
Mixing the highest-probability hitters across the slate's most homer-friendly parks. Probabilities assume independence.
| # | Leg 1 | Leg 2 | Hit % | American Odds | $100 → Payout |
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The slate's mechanical & environmental standouts.
Every game on the slate with top-3 HRS per team.
All analyzed players. Click columns to sort. Filter by team. Use EV Calc to compare model fair odds vs the book.
| Player | Team | HRS | Form | MV | Brl vs Mix | ISO vs Mix | HR % | Fair Odds | Z | ★ | Avg Book Odds | User Odds | EV % | ¼-Kelly $ |
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Pick a batter-vs-pitcher matchup; we simulate 1,000 games at ~4 PAs each and tally outcomes.